It's been a few weeks since I last updated this blog. Part 17 was posted on 21/02/2020 and I'm frustrated at the gap between posts. This week I will explain a little about the reasons for the gap. I will also look at the impact of the coronavirus on my investment strategy. First of all, the weekly update.
I was thinking I should rename this section "Weekly Updates" but I did not want to confuse matters unnecessarily. In Part 17 I explained that I would be leaving for India, but what I did not realise was that I had the departure dates mixed up. I thought I was flying on Saturday 29/02/2020 but I was flying the day before, and Friday is the normal posting day for this blog. Part 18, as a result, was lost in the mix. To be honest, I had a draft of Part 18 ready but it was not my best writing and I think it's best to just leave it in my saved files. The plan, as mentioned in a previous post, was to have a guest blogger post an update whilst I was in India but that did not come to pass either. With a very limited internet connection in India I was not able to post anything. So, apologies for the gap between posts. I have not given up on this blog and am still passionate about the project and the journey to financial independence.
India was quite the disappointment. I am going to write a separate blog detailing the trip for another part of this site, and so will not go into too much detail here. In brief, the main issues stemmed from the agents messing us around. We had booked a "luxury" package but it was far from luxury. Also, we knew this was a trip that involved some travelling between cities but in the eleven days we had in India I calculated that we spent approximately seventy hours on the coach. The hotels ranged from adequate to terrible. In one hotel we had an issue where our room had no hot water and it took over two hours for the hotel to move us to a different room. This was late at night after a long day in dirty streets. The hotel's conduct during this issue was disgraceful. Another hotel had no power or water from the time we checked in at around 19:00 until almost 22:00. This meant after a long day on the road we had no toilet facilities, showers or even lighting. Another hotel marketed as five-star could not accept card payments, something not disclosed at check-in, which meant that when it came to pay bills, many guests were having heated conversations about paying their expenses.
The Tour Guide was spineless as well. There was a group of thirty-six travelers and there was a real division within the group. One of the travelers insisted on sitting next to the driver in the forward cabin of the coach, and we could see him distract the driver several times. We narrowly avoided accidents on multiple occasions but the Tour Guide said he could not do anything about it. We challenged the other traveler but he refused to change seats. I was quite vocal about this issue and another traveler started making comments about me to other members of the group. I was told about this, and I calmly confronted the woman to ask if she wanted to clear the air. She became abusive and I told her to mind her own business in future. She then sent her husband to speak to me, but I made it quite clear to them both I would not tolerate their nonsense further. All of this made the trip pretty underwhelming.
A small selection of photos from India.
Initially, I quite liked our Tour Guide but after just a couple of days my opinion of him shifted. Early on in the trip we were offered an upgraded meal plan that would include dinner at the hotels in addition to breakfast. This would be at the cost of £10 per person, per night. We accepted the offer. Nothing was mentioned in detail about payment, so I assumed that it would just be a card payment to the travel agent or local tour operator. Now for a little tangent....
The Indian currency is the Rupee. You cannot buy the Rupee outside of India. The currency is highly regulated and you are not permitted to transport the currency across India's borders. I have cash across three banks, as well as a credit card. Two of my bank account providers do not charge for using their debit cards abroad or for foreign ATM withdrawals. However, I had to try many different ATMs to find one that would work. When they did work, the daily withdrawal limit was 10,000 Rupees, which is roughly £110. This has to pay for general expenses, lunches and so on. It does not leave much room to accumulate the cash needed to pay for the meal plan in Rupees. Also, it was not just me having an issue with ATMs not working. On several occasions there was a queue of people from our group all trying to draw money from Indian ATMs but they would not work for any of us. I called my banks and they stated they had no record of attempted withdrawals, which meant the issue was probably that the connection timed out between the Indian banks and the UK banks. The card readers in shops and restaurants were no better. Our Tour Guide was well aware of all these problems.
When we were in Jaipur, one of our last destinations, we were told that we needed to make payment in cash. We ended up being driven round the city in a Tuk Tuk trying to find an ATM that would work. We did not succeed. I explained this to our Tour Guide; he would either have to find a way to allow a card payment or online transfer. After some debate, I was sent a link to make an online payment. However, the hotel we were at by this point had no wi-fi. On the coach the next day, the Guide used his phone as a hotspot. I spent an hour, as we were driving through the Indian countryside trying to make the payment but the signal kept cutting out. I eventually gave up. I was only able to make the payment on the last day. The Guide kept pestering me to give him the money. I ended up asking him if he thought I have some magic power to summon cash out of thin air, and I think he got the message.
On the positive side, my girlfriend and I spent time together away from the pressures of day-to-day life. We made the best of our time together and got to experience another culture and way of life. We saw the Taj Mahal, and several forts and temples steeped in history. We also made some great friends in our group including Jane and Melvyn, a retired couple from the Birmingham area. We met Tess, a lady living not far from us in South Yorkshire. We also spent time with a lovely Indian family, and our joint dinners at several of the hotels were great fun. I also spoke briefly with some other members of the group who seemed like interesting people whom I would like to have known better, but the time pressures of such a trip made it difficult. I hate being so negative about travelling. I love travelling, and even when things don't go to plan, there are normally ways to rescue the situation. Both my girlfriend and myself agree though, this was our least enjoyable trip in the thirteen years we have been together. We feel like we need a holiday just to recover from this trip.
Premium Bonds: £13,725 (no change from last update).
Stocks and Shares ISA: £7,079.55 (down £1,533.87 from last update).
F**k It Fund: £1,614.51 (up £1.40 from last update).
Property Value: £181,626 (no change from last update).
Total Assets: £204,045.06 (down £1,532.47 from last update)
Credit Card Debt: £1,759.94 (up £1,759.94 from last update).
Loan Debt: £2,936.22 (down £400 from last update).
Residential Mortgage: £133,673.84 (down £286.73 from last update).
Total Debts: £138,370.00 (up £1,039.10 from last update).
Total Wealth Figure: £65,675.06 (down £2,571.57 from last update).
You will notice two massive changes since the last update. My credit card balance has increased significantly. As I've stated previously, I normally run my credit card at a zero balance where it is paid off as soon as it is used. India threw a spanner in the works as we had to spend much more than expected. Also, with my bank cards not working properly in India I had to rely more on the credit card even though it charged me a fee for non-sterling transactions. It's probably going to take a couple of months to reduce that balance back down to zero, but it will get there.
My ISA has taken a pasting with the stock market slump due to the coronavirus. I'm not concerned though; it's actually an exciting time. It's like Black Friday for stocks and there are many, many deals to be had. For short-term investors, day-traders and speculators, this sort of drop in the stock market is terrifying. For long-term investors it's a great time to start snapping up shares. The stock market will bounce back; it always does.
A sharp drop in the value of my ISA, but it's only a blip. Patience is the key.
A Soft Reboot
"No plan survives contact with the enemy."
~ paraphrased from quote by Field Marshal Helmuth Karl Bernhard Graf von Moltke.
I've spoken before about the need for flexible plans and goals that are process based rather than outcome based. Our trip to India ended up being a bigger speed-bump in the road than expected. Also, the rise of Covid-19 is something that I could not realistically plan for. I need to reassess my financial priorities and look to streamline as much as possible over the coming months. I have a devised a new plan of action which involves ticking off the financial goals that I'm closest to achieving first, thus freeing up the money that would otherwise be committed to those goals.
Throughout all this I will also be investing in my stocks and shares ISA. Depending on dividend income I may be able to hit the targets mentioned above a little earlier, but I'm not counting on that.
Investing in Stocks: Now is the time to buy.
"The market is the most efficient mechanism anywhere in the world for transferring wealth from impatient people to patient people."
~ Warren Buffett.
Investing can be complicated. It can involve detailed analysis of economic trends, balance sheets and dozens of other factors. Sometimes though, it is very simple.
These mass selloffs which we see in the stock market at times of crisis are a case in point, and amateur investors need a reminder of just what the stock market it. What I'm about to say, sounds like common sense. However, the more you let the point sink in, the more relevance you will observe to the market right now. Here goes;
When you buy stock, someone else is selling. When you sell stock, someone else is buying.
The stock market is a middle man. You don't buy or sell stock to or from the stock market as an institution but rather through the stock market to another individual or business. When you choose to sell stocks in a panic, someone else is rubbing their hands together as they sense the opportunity for a bargain. The cynic in my thinks that a lot of the experts you see on the news promoting stock market catastrophe are the ones who will be logging into their trading accounts shortly after to start hoovering up shares that have plummeted in value.
When the stock market falls, it's a chance to make money. I did this just after the Brexit Referendum in 2016 and made a tidy profit. I will probably make some money from this plunge as well. You make your money in stocks when you buy, not necessarily when you sell, as a long-term investor may not sell. My strategy is to buy, hold, and take the dividends. When the stock market falls, I get more for my money; more units of the stock and more dividends further down the line.
Apologies again for the gap between posting on this blog. Normal service should now resume. However, I am making a change to the posting schedule from next week. Instead of posting on a Friday, I am moving the posting day to Sunday each week. I have a few things on at the moment with studying for my Financial Advisor qualifications and posting on a Sunday just makes more sense for my circumstances. Thank you for reading.